An upper-level storm system will track across northern Mexico today and will combine its energy with a Pacific cold front approaching our area late tonight and tomorrow. This looks to be the most significant rainfall event in many months. Most computer models are suggesting 1”-2” of rain area wide with isolated amounts up to 3”. At this time, the main threat with possible severe weather is heavy downpours and strong gusty winds in excess of 60 MPH. Here is your update forecast:
Isolated showers possible, otherwise mostly cloudy skies and warm. High 82
Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some storms may produce heavy rainfall and may reach severe limits! Low 62
Numerous showers and thunderstorms likely, especially before 12PM. Some storms may be severe. High 78
Frequently Asked Questions
In the last issue of “Weather Wednesday,” the end of the 7-Day Weather Outlook was extremely unclear. However, details have become clearer and computer models have begun to agree as to what the forecast will be for this week. We will continue to see sunny skies and fairly warm temperatures in the upper 80’s today through Wednesday. At this point, on early Thursday morning another major Canadian cold front will sweep through the state of Texas. This time around, scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to accompany this front. As of now, I am not expecting any organized severe weather but you can never rule out the possibility of a strong thunderstorm. After the front arrives, brisk winds will blow from the north for the remainder of Thursday. If there are any significant changes, another updated blog will be posted!
As the author of “Weather Wednesday,” I try to make the forecast as clear, comprehensive, and accurate as possible. It is for those reasons that I do not use percentages while forecasting the week ahead. Instead I use the words; stray, isolated, scattered, and numerous. The reason I have chosen these key words is because I feel like sometimes people may misinterpret percentages. Meteorologists use percentages in terms of coverage, not the chances YOU will see rain. For example, I am from the Corpus Christi area and a few years ago in April we had a 30% chance of rain… ultimately meaning that 30% of the area would likely see rain. Doesn’t seem very likely, right? Well on that day, we saw more rain than we did any other day throughout that year, 4.25.” That being said, I feel like using key words rather than numerical values does the forecast more justice and gives the audience a better understanding of the weather.
Rain Chances Increase for the Weekend: