The 2016 election cycle is just around the corner, and this go-around will see a new president elected to the White House.
This cycle is even more unique because there is not a president running for re-election. People across the nation will look forward to seeing twice as much news coverage and twice as many political commercials competing for public attention.
The question is, will the next president be a Republican or Democrat? I think it is very unlikely for a democrat to be elected after President Barack Obama’s time in office.
Unrest in the Middle East will play a huge part in this upcoming election. A candidate’s approach to dealing with Islamic extremist groups like ISIS and Boko Haram may determine election. Generally speaking, Republicans seem to have a much more aggressive and militaristic approach when dealing with these types of threats. Therefore, citizens might be more inclined to vote for the Republican candidate because a growing number of Americans see groups like ISIS as a threat.
Russia will also be a factor in the next election because it is becoming increasingly aggressive. How the next president will deal with Russia will affect the country for longer than the next four years, making the Russian situation even more significant. Americans might want the next president to respond aggressively, therefore, making a Republican candidate more desirable. After all, the president who told Mikhail Gorbachev, former General Secretary of the Communist party of the Soviet Union, to tear down the wall was a Republican.
Foreign policy is only half of the puzzle the next president will have to solve. The 2014 election cycle saw the Republican Party take the Senate and keep a majority in the House of Representatives. According to a Jan. 14 Washington Post article, Republicans have gained 913 state legislative seats in the past three state elections.
Obama was president for all of these past elections, and it seems America is becoming more dissatisfied with the Democratic Party. This most likely is not a permanent disapproval but an illustration of the continuing political cycle. Looking back into recent political history, George H. W. Bush was elected after Ronald Reagan but only served one term. Since then, America has continually swayed back and forth between Democrats and Republicans.
This pattern of switching between Republican and Democratic presidents, more or less, continues throughout history with the exception of the occasional assassination, resignation or reconstruction. The Republican takeover in 2014 will continue in 2016.
This upcoming presidential election will be as exciting as all of the others. The political climate is always changing, and the general statements I made above might not even apply next year. With all of this in mind, it is safe to predict the next president of United States will be a Republican.
Hopefully, the American people will not compare and contrast Obama’s actions when considering the next president. Instead, voters should look at the qualifications both candidates have and the state of the country when deciding who should be the next Commander-in-Chief.
Follow Jeffrey Bradshaw on Twitter at @jeffbrad12